Wednesday, February 26, 2014

Graph 9 - Investment Demand

i - Interest = cost of doing.

Reasons to borrow money:
_ Business
_ Mortgage
_ Education 

Unit 3 - Feb 26 (Interest Rate vs. Investment Rate)

Investment - money spent or expenditure on:
  • New plans (factories)
  • Capital equipment (machinery)
  • Technology (hardware/software)
  • New homes
  • Inventories (goods sold by producers)
Expected Rate of Return
  • How does business make investment decision?
    • Cost/benefit analysis.
  • How does business determine the benefits?
    • Expected rate of return.
  • How does business count the cost?
    • Interest cost.
  •  How does business determine the amount of investment they undertake?
    • Compare expected rate of return to interest cost.
      • Expected cost > interest cost, then invest.
      • Expected cost < interest cost, then don't invest.
Real (r %) vs. Nominal (n %)
  • Differences?
    • Nominal - observable rate of interest.
    • Real - subtracts out inflation(π %) and is only known ex post facto.
  • Real interest rate (r %)
    • r % = i % - π %
  • What determine the cost of investment decision?
    • The real interest rate (r %).
Investment Demand Curve (ID)
  • Downward sloping.
  • Why?
    • When interest rate is high, fewer investments are profitable.
    • When interest rate is low, more investments are profitable.
  • Determinants
    1. Cost of production
    2. Business tax
    3. Technological changes
    4. Stock of capital
    5. Expectation

Monday, February 24, 2014

Unit 3 - Feb 24 (Consumption & Saving)

Disposable Income - amount of money after taxes/net incomes.
 _ DI = gross income -taxes.
 _ 2 Choices : Spending/Consumption and Saving.

Consumption - household spending.
  • The ability to consume is constrained by:
    • the amount of DI.
    • the propensity to save.
  • Do household consume if DI = 0?
    • autonomous consumption
    • dis-saving
  • APC = (C / DI) = DI that is spent.

Saving - 
household not spending.
  • The ability to save is constrained by:
    • the amount of DI.
    • the propensity to consume.
  • Do household consume if DI = 0?
    • No
  • APS = (S / DI) = DI that is not spent.

APS & APC 
_ APS + APC = 1
_ 1 - APS = APC 
_ 1 - APC = APS 
_ APC > 1 .: Dissaving
_ APS .: Dissaving

MPC & MPS
  • Marginal propensity to consume.
    • change in C / change in DI
    • % of every extra dollars earned that is spent.
  • Marginal propensity to save.
    • change in in S / change in in DI
    • % of every extra dollar earned that is saved.
  • MPC + MPS = 1
  • 1- MPC = MPS
  • 1- MPS = MPC

Determinants of Consumption and Saving
 _ wealth
 _ expectations
 _ household debts
 _ taxes

Spending multiplier effect - an initial change in spending (C, Ig, G, Xn) causes a larger change in AD.
  • Multiplier: change in AD/change in spending.
  • Multiplier: change in AD/change in C, Xn, G, Ig.
 _ Why does this happen?
    . expenditures and income glow continuously which sets off a spending increase in the economy

Calculating the spending multiplier
 _ Multiplier: 1 / 1-MPC
 _ Multiplier: 1 / MPS
    . multipliers are (+) when there is an increase in spending & (-) when there is a decrease

Calculating the tax multiplier
 _ -MPC / 1 - MPC
 _ -MPC / MPS
 Tax cut - the multiplier is positive because there is now more money in the circular flow.
Works in reverse because now money is leaving the circular flow.

Ex: Assume US citizens spend 90 cents got every extra dollar they earn. Further assume that the real interest rate decreases causing a 50 billion dollar increase in gross private investment.
Step 1.) MPC : 0.9 /1= 0.9 ; MPS : 1- 0.9 = 0.1
Step 2.) Determine the multiplier: Spending multiplier (Spend .90)
Step 3.) Calculate multiplier: 1/0.1= 10
Step 4.) Change in AD: 50(10) = $500 billion.

Ex: Assume Germany raises taxes on it citizens by 200 billion. Furthermore, assume that Germans safe 25% of the change in DI.
Step 1.)MPC : 0.25 ; MPS : 0.75
Step 2.) Determine the multiplier: Tax multiplier
Step 3.) Calculate multiplier: -0.75/0.25=-3
Step 4.) Change in AD: 200(-3) = 600 billion